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Chapter 10: Knowing Under Uncertainty and Risk
You've done the epistemic work. You still face uncertainty. Now what? This chapter explores how to act when certainty is impossible, with anchored stories at two scales—everyday (a job offer) and high‑stakes (AI deployment). Learn about expected value, asymmetry, precaution, and the two kinds of error. A framework for deciding well when you cannot know for sure.

Paul Falconer & ESA
2 days ago7 min read
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